DEVELOPMENT AND POSSIBILITIES OF DEMAND FORECASTING OF THE BEVERAGE CANS REFLECTING THE CONSUMPTION OF SELECTED BEVERAGE CANS FROM THE MANUFACTURER'S POINT OF VIEW

1 KAČMÁRY Peter
Co-authors:
2 DAŇKO Adrián
Institutions:
1 Technical University of Košice, Faculty BERG, Institute of Logistics, Košice, Slovakia, EU, peter.kacmary@tuke.sk
2 Garrett Motion Slovakia s.r.o, Záborské, Slovakia, EU, adrian.danko@gmail.com
Conference:
CLC 2019, Tatra Hotel, Zakopane, Poland, EU, December 2 - 4, 2019
Proceedings:
Proceedings CLC 2019
Pages:
307-312
ISBN:
978-80-87294-96-3
ISSN:
2694-9318
Published:
3rd June 2020
Proceedings of the conference have been sent to Web of Science and Scopus for evaluation and potential indexing.
Metrics:
392 views / 153 downloads
Abstract

This paper shows the evolution of the demand for beverage cans, which reflects real sales of beverages in the Eastern European region. The aim of the paper is to select appropriate forecasting methods for this type of production and consumption. The basic problem arises from the procurement of materials for the production of beverage cans and the planning of shipments. The introductory part is devoted to the description of the issue from the perspective of the manufacturer of beverage cans, methods of forecasting and sales analysis. Based on time series analysis, the methods used for seasonal consumption estimation were used: Holt- Winters method, Seasonal indexes and SARIMA. The results were used as input for planning in the PUSH system, in the company that produces beverage cans. Thus, on the basis of the monthly forecast results, transport and production capacities and material inputs for customer orders are secured.

Keywords: Forecast, planning, beverages, beverage cans, batch

© This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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